If Ethiopia descends into chaos, it could take the Horn of Africa with it

As conflicts unexpectedly spread in Ethiopia, Sudan, Somalia and Yemen, america, UK and Ecu states are being sidelined

The Ethiopian military’s attack on Tigray province marks a major backwards step by means of the rustic’s high minister, Abiy Ahmed, who has been feted the world over as a moderniser and Nobel peace prize winner. Abiy calls it a “regulation enforcement operation” – however he dangers being blamed for an increasing refugee emergency and a burgeoning region-wide disaster.

An excellent larger concern is the break-up of Ethiopia itself in a Libyan or Yugoslav-type implosion. The rustic contains greater than 80 ethnic teams, of which Abiy’s Oromo is the most important, adopted by means of the Amhara. Ethnic Somalis and Tigrayans constitute about 6% each and every in a inhabitants of about 110 million. Ethiopia’s federal governance construction used to be already beneath pressure earlier than this newest explosion.

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